Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Probabilistic Weather Forecasting for Winter Road Maintenance
Road maintenance is one of the main problems Departments of Transportation face during winter time. Anti-icing, i.e. applying chemicals to the road to prevent ice formation, is often used to keep the roads free of ice. Given the preventive nature of anti-icing, accurate predictions of road ice are needed. Currently, anti-icing decisions are usually based on deterministic weather forecasts. Howe...
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Winter road maintenance practitioners have expressed a strong interest in obtaining weather and road condition forecasts and treatment recommendations specific to winter road maintenance routes. These user needs led the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) Office of Transportation Operations Road Weather Management Program to support the development of a prototype winter road Maintenance Decis...
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Real-time measurement of tire-road friction coefficient is extremely valuable for winter road maintenance operations and can be used to optimize the kind and quantity of the deicing and anti-icing chemicals applied to the roadway. In this project, a wheel based tire-road friction coefficient measurement system is first developed for snowplows. Unlike a traditional Norse meter, this system is ba...
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Probabilistic weather forecasts are amongst the most popular ways to quantify numerical forecast uncertainties. The analog regression method can quantify uncertainties and express them as probabilities. The method comprises the analysis of errors from a large database of past forecasts generated with a specific numerical model and observational data. Current visualization tools based on this me...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of the American Statistical Association
سال: 2010
ISSN: 0162-1459,1537-274X
DOI: 10.1198/jasa.2009.ap07184